调整前的最后狂欢
本帖最后由 jxlou 于 2015-1-22 19:58 编辑大盘大概会在2月初见顶,完成第一浪,然后开启短暂而猛烈的第二浪调整,小心啊!
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data:image/png;base64,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 嘘... 我等第三浪还是第五浪 都在等调整,就是不晓得什么时候到。。。 嗯!同意!
趋势一旦形成 ,就很难改变了。现在看到下降趋势越来越明显。 谢谢楼主提醒,我一直在等冲过3500再跑呢,楼主能否则预测一下大致的点位? 你是说的美股还是A股啊?
{:4_264:} 楼主大才。
主板和创业板会步调一致的调整吗? 同问 麻烦谈谈欧洲QE对A股的影响?
我空转多了 麻烦谈谈欧洲QE对A股的影响?
我空转多了 楼主,下一轮版块热点能推荐下吧 请问理由? 无人牛 发表于 2015-1-24 08:06 static/image/common/back.gif
请问理由?
信息世界大神多,否定一个又一个,小散慢慢练成神,回首一看无人牛 无人牛 发表于 2015-1-24 08:06 static/image/common/back.gif
请问理由?
信息世界大神多,否定一个又一个,小散慢慢练成神,回首一看无人牛 再回头看jxlou之前的帖子,大牛啊!对股市节奏的判断异常精准。
每次在形势起变化之前都能提前预测到,而且顺势而为,我在雪球上看到很多十多年的老股民也没有这份功力。
我不禁想说,老大,给推荐一下今年的版块吧 哈哈,我早就发现了jxlou是个牛人,他的每个回复我是必看的,所以希望他多出来说说呢{:4_280:} 鹦鹉 发表于 2015-1-22 20:52 static/image/common/back.gif
嗯!同意!
趋势一旦形成 ,就很难改变了。现在看到下降趋势越来越明显。
补充一句,上面的分析只是针对正常情况下的走势。当前国际形势错综复杂,对应国内情况也是瞬息万变。一旦政府出台政策,市场就很可能打破常规。所以现在其实没有什么非常可靠的策略。一方面我要小心回调,尽量避免,另一方面也要防止丢失筹码。最近的大盘走势分析非常头疼。 时间草原 发表于 2015-1-22 22:41 static/image/common/back.gif
谢谢楼主提醒,我一直在等冲过3500再跑呢,楼主能否则预测一下大致的点位?
如果没有特别变化,比如降息之类的,那么节前很难过3500点,这里有大结构的阻力。 miaowentb1 发表于 2015-1-24 07:07 static/image/common/back.gif
楼主,下一轮版块热点能推荐下吧
现在形势复杂,很难说一定回调或一定涨。但是有一个板块可能会比较好,那就是军工。现在是未来30年格局的开局,中美都在架构自己的主导的经济体系。中国高一带一路为标志的中国经济圈,老美一定回来拆台,到时候能否成功,或者成功的程度,得看军队是否给力。这个节骨眼上,军工起航势在必行。所以大盘的防守能力军工最好。各种情况下军工的确定性最好,即便是明天打仗,军工也会涨。 akinliu2001 发表于 2015-1-26 09:02 static/image/common/back.gif
再回头看jxlou之前的帖子,大牛啊!对股市节奏的判断异常精准。
每次在形势起变化之前都能提前预测到,而 ...
今年短线推荐军工,不是说军工会涨的最好,而是他的防守能力最好。中长线各种股票都有机会。 pea 发表于 2015-1-23 22:37 static/image/common/back.gif
麻烦谈谈欧洲QE对A股的影响?
我空转多了
欧洲放水利好中美!今年是确定的牛市,但是可能会很颠簸,因为局势比较复杂。最近的短线就很纠结。正常情况下就是主贴中的走法,但是不排除政府原因导致大盘突然突破向上。 akinliu2001 发表于 2015-1-23 17:31 static/image/common/back.gif
楼主大才。
主板和创业板会步调一致的调整吗?
如果主板大调整,创业板很难避免。而且今年的股市的主要机会再蓝筹股,创业板的最好机会已经过去,最少普涨的机会已经过去,后面会分化。建议主要做主板。 jxlou 发表于 2015-1-26 20:47 static/image/common/back.gif
补充一句,上面的分析只是针对正常情况下的走势。当前国际形势错综复杂,对应国内情况也是瞬息万变。一旦 ...
谢谢啊!我现在就是太胆小谨慎了。 jxlou 发表于 2015-1-26 21:05
如果主板大调整,创业板很难避免。而且今年的股市的主要机会再蓝筹股,创业板的最好机会已经过去,最少普 ...
多谢楼主的分享! jxlou 发表于 2015-1-26 21:05 static/image/common/back.gif
如果主板大调整,创业板很难避免。而且今年的股市的主要机会再蓝筹股,创业板的最好机会已经过去,最少普 ...
认真读了楼主的帖子,收获颇多。创业板的机会的确不多了。最近一波创业板的上涨,也只是个别权重股带动的,大部分创业板个股都萎靡不振。
致谢! 关于今年是蓝筹股走好还是创业板好,实在还是很纠结啊。
因为今年是改革深化之年,有贴近政策的人说今年有四大主线--
“新技术、新产品、新业态、新商业模式”,实现“生产小型化、智能化、专业化”。
根据这些看,总觉得机会还是创小板多。
反正以上半年为界限,先看看趋势再说吧。顺势而为。 今天全部清仓,近来股市行情在我脑中是混沌状态,完全无从判断。空仓观望为宜。 今天的新闻,证监会又发飙了
楼主神勇 极乐鸟 发表于 2015-1-28 15:34 static/image/common/back.gif
今天全部清仓,近来股市行情在我脑中是混沌状态,完全无从判断。空仓观望为宜。
空仓或全仓对技术要求很高,牛市还是要防止踏空。 一个字 涨,涨才是硬道理。